Inca Trail Weather, Month by Month
The dry-season cliché is mostly true — but not entirely. Here is the honest breakdown of weather on every section of the trail in every month of the year.
Key takeaways
- Dry season: May to September. Best weather, biggest crowds, highest prices.
- Wet season: November to March. Daily afternoon rain, smaller crowds, ~25% lower prices.
- Sweet spots: April and October are the shoulder months — usually dry, much less crowded.
- Closed: February (Classic Trail only). Short Trail open year-round.
- Daytime temperatures vary from 18–22°C / 64–72°F at lower altitudes to 5–12°C / 41–54°F at high passes.
- Nighttime temperatures at high camps regularly drop below freezing from May to August.
The trail crosses three climate zones
The Inca Trail is unique in that you walk through three distinct ecosystems in four days, and each has its own weather pattern. Understanding which zone you're in at any moment matters more than the calendar month.
- Andean highland (puna): Above 3,800 m. Cold, dry air. Strong sun by day, sub-freezing by night. Days 1–2 of the Classic.
- Cloud forest (yungas): 2,500–3,800 m. Daily mist, frequent showers, lush vegetation. Days 2–4 transition.
- Subtropical lower valley: Below 2,500 m. Warm, humid, mosquitoes. Aguas Calientes and the lower trail.
Month-by-month overview
| Month | Day temp. | Night temp. (high camps) | Rainy days | Crowd level | Recommendation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 18°C / 64°F | 3°C / 37°F | 22 | Low | Wet, but trail open |
| February | — | — | — | CLOSED | Classic Trail closed |
| March | 19°C / 66°F | 2°C / 36°F | 20 | Low | Wet, beautiful greens |
| April | 20°C / 68°F | 0°C / 32°F | 10 | Moderate | Excellent shoulder month |
| May | 20°C / 68°F | –3°C / 27°F | 4 | High | Best weather, busy |
| June | 20°C / 68°F | –4°C / 25°F | 3 | Very High | Peak dry, peak crowded |
| July | 20°C / 68°F | –5°C / 23°F | 3 | Very High | Coldest nights, driest |
| August | 21°C / 70°F | –4°C / 25°F | 4 | Very High | Excellent, very busy |
| September | 21°C / 70°F | –1°C / 30°F | 6 | High | Excellent shoulder |
| October | 21°C / 70°F | 1°C / 34°F | 9 | Moderate | Excellent shoulder |
| November | 20°C / 68°F | 3°C / 37°F | 14 | Moderate | Variable, gambling |
| December | 19°C / 66°F | 3°C / 37°F | 18 | Low | Wet, festive crowds |
Dry season (May to September)
This is what most travel guides recommend, and the recommendation is basically correct. From May through September, the Cusco region's weather is dominated by descending dry air from the Pacific high. Days are sunny, skies are clear, and the long Andean views the trail is famous for are reliably visible. Daytime temperatures are pleasant for hiking (15–22°C in the sun) and the lack of rain means easier camping, drier trail conditions and fewer landslide risks.
The trade-offs:
- Cold nights. July nights at the high camps regularly hit –5°C. Bring a 4-season sleeping bag.
- Crowds. 200 trekker permits per day, all booked. The trail is not solitary — you'll encounter other groups regularly.
- Prices. Operators charge dry-season rates, and Cusco hotel prices spike for July and August.
- UV exposure. Strong sun + thin air means serious sunburn risk. SPF 50+ and a wide-brimmed hat are essential.
Wet season (November to March)
The wet season is dramatically different. Cumulative monthly rainfall in January and February reaches 200+ mm, and afternoon thunderstorms are nearly daily. The compensations are real:
- Beautiful landscapes. The cloud forest is at its most vivid. Orchids, bromeliads and waterfalls everywhere.
- Smaller groups. Permits often available at 3 weeks' notice. Campsites are quiet.
- Lower prices. Operators discount 15–25% off dry-season rates.
- Warmer nights. The cloud cover keeps high-camp temperatures above 0°C most nights.
The realities:
- Plan for 4–6 hours of rain per day. Quality rain gear (jacket + pack cover + waterproof bag liners) is non-negotiable.
- Trail surfaces are slippery, especially the long stone descents on Day 3.
- Views from Dead Woman's Pass and Phuyupatamarca will likely be obscured by clouds.
- Sunrise at the Sun Gate may be a misty atmosphere rather than a clear postcard view (some find this more memorable).
- Risk of landslides closing the trail or rail line is small but real, especially in January and March.
Shoulder months (April and October)
If we had to recommend one period to a friend, it would be the second half of April or the first half of October. The dry season is largely established (April) or still mostly intact (October), permits are available at 4–5 months' notice instead of 6–8, prices are modestly lower than peak months, and crowds are noticeably thinner. Weather is typically a mix: 70% dry, 30% rainy days. Bring rain gear but don't expect to wear it constantly.
February: the closure month
Every February, the Classic 4-Day Inca Trail closes entirely for archaeological maintenance and trail repair. The Ministry of Culture and SERNANP work to restore eroded sections, repair stone steps damaged by the wet season, and conduct a thorough conservation review of the major archaeological sites. The corridor reopens on March 1.
If you must travel in February, options include:
- Short Inca Trail (1-day or 2-day): Open year-round. The corridor closes for the Classic but the Short Trail uses a smaller protected zone.
- Salkantay route (without Inca Trail extension): Open year-round. The 5-day version ends at Machu Picchu via train.
- Lares trek: Open year-round. A cultural trek through Quechua weaving communities.
- Choquequirao trek: Open year-round. A 4–5 day trek to the lesser-known sister citadel of Machu Picchu.
Microclimate notes by section
Beyond the calendar, the trail itself has weather peculiarities:
- Day 1 (Km 82 to Wayllabamba): Lower altitude, often warmer than Cusco. Afternoon showers possible even in dry season.
- Day 2 (Dead Woman's Pass): Coldest, windiest section. Temperature can drop 15°C in the 30 minutes before reaching the pass on a stormy day.
- Day 3 (cloud forest): Most consistently misty. Even on clear days, expect pockets of fog around Sayacmarca and Phuyupatamarca.
- Day 4 dawn: Sun Gate weather is unpredictable. Many "perfect" weather forecasts deliver clouded sunrises, and many forecast-poor days deliver pristine views. Plan to arrive regardless.
Frequently asked weather questions
Has the trail ever been closed during the open months?
Rarely, but yes. Heavy rains in late March and early April have occasionally caused localized closures of 1–3 days due to landslides. Operators typically reschedule affected groups within the same week if possible.
Is altitude sickness worse in the wet season?
Slightly, due to lower atmospheric pressure during storms. The difference is small. Acclimatization protocols matter much more than the season — see our altitude guide.
What's the weather forecast accuracy for the trail?
Mountain weather is notoriously hard to forecast. 24-hour forecasts are reasonably accurate; 5-day forecasts for Aguas Calientes routinely change. Don't book based on weather forecasts — book based on the season and prepare for everything.
Are mosquitos a problem?
Only in the lower cloud forest sections (Day 3 evening, Day 4 morning) and in Aguas Calientes itself. Insect repellent with at least 25% DEET is recommended. Mosquitos are essentially absent above 3,500 m.